Northwest Natural Gas Stock Performance

NWN Stock  USD 48.07  0.51  1.05%   
Northwest Natural has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.16, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Northwest Natural's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Northwest Natural is expected to be smaller as well. Northwest Natural Gas right now secures a risk of 1.01%. Please verify Northwest Natural Gas total risk alpha, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the Downside Variance and daily balance of power , to decide if Northwest Natural Gas will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northwest Natural Gas are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Northwest Natural is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.63
Five Day Return
4.43
Year To Date Return
3.94
Ten Year Return
(8.04)
All Time Return
611.27
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0404
Payout Ratio
1.4131
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
1.97
Dividend Date
2026-02-13
 
Northwest Natural dividend paid on 14th of November 2025
11/14/2025
1
Disposition of 7468 shares by David Anderson of Northwest Natural at 47.949 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/17/2025
2
Disposition of tradable shares by MardiLyn Saathoff of Northwest Natural at 46.9 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/22/2025
 
Northwest Natural dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
4
Vaughan Nelson Investment Management L.P. Buys 181,635 Shares of Northwest Natural Gas Company NWN - MarketBeat
01/07/2026
5
Disposition of 546 shares by David Anderson of Northwest Natural at 46.98 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/15/2026
6
NW Natural Holdings Schedules Earnings Release and Conference Call for Friday, Feb. 27
01/16/2026
7
Acquisition by Karen Lee of 1158 shares of Northwest Natural at 43.95 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/22/2026
8
Northwest Natural Holding Declares Quarterly Dividend of 0.4925 per Share
01/29/2026
9
Northwest Natural Holding declares quarterly dividend of 0.4925 per share - MSN
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow49.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-429 M

Northwest Natural Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,651  in Northwest Natural Gas on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  207.00  from holding Northwest Natural Gas or generate 4.45% return on investment over 90 days. Northwest Natural Gas is generating 0.0777% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.0131% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 9% of stocks are less volatile than Northwest, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Northwest Natural is expected to generate 1.23 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.24 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Northwest Natural Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Northwest Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 48.07 90 days 48.07 
nearly 4.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northwest Natural to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.89 (This Northwest Natural Gas probability density function shows the probability of Northwest Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Northwest Natural has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Northwest Natural average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Northwest Natural Gas will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Northwest Natural Gas has an alpha of 0.1041, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Northwest Natural Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Northwest Natural

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northwest Natural Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northwest Natural's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.5648.5749.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.7251.1052.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.6549.6750.68
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
49.4454.3360.31
Details

Northwest Natural Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northwest Natural is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northwest Natural's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northwest Natural Gas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northwest Natural within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Northwest Natural Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northwest Natural for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northwest Natural Gas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northwest Natural Gas has 1.96 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.18, which is OK given its current industry classification. Northwest Natural Gas has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Northwest to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Over 83.0% of Northwest Natural shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Northwest Natural paid $ 0.4775 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Northwest Natural Holding declares quarterly dividend of 0.4925 per share - MSN

Northwest Natural Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Northwest Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Northwest Natural's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northwest Natural's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments38.5 M

Northwest Natural Fundamentals Growth

Northwest Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northwest Natural, and Northwest Natural fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northwest Stock performance.

About Northwest Natural Performance

By examining Northwest Natural's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Northwest Natural's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Northwest Natural is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 59.43  51.69 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.08 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.09 

Things to note about Northwest Natural Gas performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northwest Natural for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Northwest Natural Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northwest Natural Gas has 1.96 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.18, which is OK given its current industry classification. Northwest Natural Gas has a current ratio of 0.65, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Northwest to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
Over 83.0% of Northwest Natural shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2025 Northwest Natural paid $ 0.4775 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Northwest Natural Holding declares quarterly dividend of 0.4925 per share - MSN
Evaluating Northwest Natural's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Northwest Natural's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Northwest Natural's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Northwest Natural's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Northwest Natural's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Northwest Natural's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Northwest Natural's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Northwest Natural's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Northwest Natural's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Northwest Natural's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Northwest Natural's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Northwest Natural Gas offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Northwest Natural's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Northwest Natural Gas Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Northwest Natural Gas Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Northwest Natural Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in child.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Will Gas Utilities sector continue expanding? Could Northwest diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northwest Natural. Anticipated expansion of Northwest directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Northwest Natural data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.29
Dividend Share
1.96
Earnings Share
2.51
Revenue Per Share
31.244
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.203
Investors evaluate Northwest Natural Gas using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Northwest Natural's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Northwest Natural's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Northwest Natural's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Northwest Natural should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Northwest Natural's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.